UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays

View the Stakes for UFC FN151 below:

Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a substantial reach benefit of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably larger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is vastly more technical with sharp mixes and harmful power. He comes from a good camp but his main weakness appears to be defense, where he’s left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in many recent conflicts.
Swanson is a far more unorthadox and wild fighter and his personality looks to struggle against more specialized competition. He’s on a substantial losing streak where he has appeared flat and vulnerable in each fight. It seems Cub is really on a a downturn which is not surprising given his era in a division where speed is king. It must be noted that most of Cub’s losses have come to high 10 resistance, but it is his lack of competitiveness that raise a red flag.
This fight should be entertaining with both guys eager to stand and trade. In the unlikely event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this might be a close battle, but we expect to find a falling veteran who can not keep up with the technical young talent. Back Burgos to get the win here, likely from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking about the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking compared to his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he hasn’t shown the best initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to continue being dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he’s demonstrated a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is essential standing, mostly throwing his hand to set up degree changes. He averages an absurd amount of takedown efforts each struggle, compounded by the fact that he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it is likely Dvalishvili does property takedowns however Katona has lots of skills to avoid getting stuck onto his back. More time on the toes for Katona means he’ll maintain control, landing hurt and accumulating rounds. This should be a close fight where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming to this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he is fighting a branch his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a significant advantage in all areas of the fight. On the feet he is defensively noise and fights long using his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the distance. Prepolec likes to get in near but leaves himself wide open when entering the pocket. His strikes are slower and he ought to be open to counters in Taleb. Size will also be a big element in which Prepolec has shown a inclination to get out muscled from the grappling section by much smaller and not as talented fighters compared to Taleb. This is likely his safest route to victory where he probably dominates to establish a finish. On short notice debut there are just too many barriers to conquer and whilst the odds are short, this looks to be a simple win.

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